Change log

Every change to a published start probability, expected minutes or status, with the source and the time it was made. Times shown in UK time; .

Time (UK)GWTeamPlayerFieldChangeSourceReason
GW9Hull CityMohamed-Ali ChoStart probability4% → 2%Model updateTeam distribution adjusted after a change for teammate: Nobel Mendy
GW9Hull CityMohamed-Ali ChoExpected minutes19′ → 17′Model updateTeam distribution adjusted after a change for teammate: Nobel Mendy
GW9Hull CityTim IroegbunamStart probability81% → 75%Model updateTeam distribution adjusted after a change for teammate: Nobel Mendy
GW9Hull CityTim IroegbunamExpected minutes61′ → 58′Model updateTeam distribution adjusted after a change for teammate: Nobel Mendy
GW9Hull CityBrooke Norton-CuffyStart probability9% → 7%Model updateTeam distribution adjusted after a change for teammate: Nobel Mendy
GW9Hull CityBrooke Norton-CuffyExpected minutes17′ → 16′Model updateTeam distribution adjusted after a change for teammate: Nobel Mendy
GW9Hull CityÓscar ZambranoStart probability4% → 2%Model updateTeam distribution adjusted after a change for teammate: Nobel Mendy
GW9Hull CityÓscar ZambranoExpected minutes10′ → 8′Model updateTeam distribution adjusted after a change for teammate: Nobel Mendy
GW9Hull CityJens Hjertø-DahlStart probability4% → 2%Model updateTeam distribution adjusted after a change for teammate: Nobel Mendy
GW9Hull CityJens Hjertø-DahlExpected minutes8′ → 6′Model updateTeam distribution adjusted after a change for teammate: Nobel Mendy
GW9Hull CityNobel MendyStart probability0% → 40%Model updateNews update: fitness doubt for this match; start probability and expected minutes revised.
GW9Hull CityNobel MendyExpected minutes0′ → 35′Model updateNews update: fitness doubt for this match; start probability and expected minutes revised.
GW9Hull CityNobel MendyStatusOut → DoubtfulModel updateNews update: fitness doubt for this match; start probability and expected minutes revised.
GW9Hull CityChristos MouzakitisStart probability4% → 2%Model updateTeam distribution adjusted after a change for teammate: Nobel Mendy
GW9Hull CityChristos MouzakitisExpected minutes8′ → 6′Model updateTeam distribution adjusted after a change for teammate: Nobel Mendy
GW9Hull CityRobinio VazStart probability4% → 2%Model updateTeam distribution adjusted after a change for teammate: Nobel Mendy
GW9Hull CityRobinio VazExpected minutes17′ → 15′Model updateTeam distribution adjusted after a change for teammate: Nobel Mendy
GW9Hull CityMatt CrooksStart probability29% → 24%Model updateTeam distribution adjusted after a change for teammate: Nobel Mendy
GW9Hull CityMatt CrooksExpected minutes23′ → 20′Model updateTeam distribution adjusted after a change for teammate: Nobel Mendy
GW9Hull CityPaddy McNairStart probability4% → 2%Model updateTeam distribution adjusted after a change for teammate: Nobel Mendy
GW9Hull CityPaddy McNairExpected minutes7′ → 6′Model updateTeam distribution adjusted after a change for teammate: Nobel Mendy
GW9Hull CityKieran DowellStart probability4% → 2%Model updateTeam distribution adjusted after a change for teammate: Nobel Mendy
GW9Hull CityKieran DowellExpected minutes8′ → 6′Model updateTeam distribution adjusted after a change for teammate: Nobel Mendy
GW9Hull CityAbdülkadir ÖmürStart probability4% → 2%Model updateTeam distribution adjusted after a change for teammate: Nobel Mendy
GW9Hull CityAbdülkadir ÖmürExpected minutes10′ → 8′Model updateTeam distribution adjusted after a change for teammate: Nobel Mendy
GW9Hull CitySorba ThomasStart probability25% → 18%Model updateTeam distribution adjusted after a change for teammate: Nobel Mendy
GW9Hull CitySorba ThomasExpected minutes26′ → 22′Model updateTeam distribution adjusted after a change for teammate: Nobel Mendy
GW9Hull CityHidemasa MoritaStart probability4% → 2%Model updateTeam distribution adjusted after a change for teammate: Nobel Mendy
GW9Hull CityLiam MillarStart probability4% → 2%Model updateTeam distribution adjusted after a change for teammate: Nobel Mendy
GW9Hull CityLiam MillarExpected minutes16′ → 15′Model updateTeam distribution adjusted after a change for teammate: Nobel Mendy
GW9Hull CityRyan GilesStart probability89% → 86%Model updateTeam distribution adjusted after a change for teammate: Nobel Mendy
GW9Hull CityRyan GilesExpected minutes74′ → 72′Model updateTeam distribution adjusted after a change for teammate: Nobel Mendy
GW9Hull CityJoe GelhardtStart probability9% → 7%Model updateTeam distribution adjusted after a change for teammate: Nobel Mendy
GW9Hull CityJoe GelhardtExpected minutes19′ → 18′Model updateTeam distribution adjusted after a change for teammate: Nobel Mendy
GW9Hull CityCody DramehStart probability4% → 2%Model updateTeam distribution adjusted after a change for teammate: Nobel Mendy
GW9Hull CityCody DramehExpected minutes16′ → 15′Model updateTeam distribution adjusted after a change for teammate: Nobel Mendy
GW9LiverpoolJames McConnellStart probability20% → 16%Model updateTeam distribution adjusted after a change for teammate: Victor Munoz
GW9LiverpoolJames McConnellExpected minutes17′ → 14′Model updateTeam distribution adjusted after a change for teammate: Victor Munoz
GW9LiverpoolLewis KoumasStart probability41% → 35%Model updateTeam distribution adjusted after a change for teammate: Victor Munoz
GW9LiverpoolLewis KoumasExpected minutes38′ → 34′Model updateTeam distribution adjusted after a change for teammate: Victor Munoz
GW9LiverpoolTrey NyoniStart probability20% → 16%Model updateTeam distribution adjusted after a change for teammate: Victor Munoz
GW9LiverpoolTrey NyoniExpected minutes26′ → 23′Model updateTeam distribution adjusted after a change for teammate: Victor Munoz
GW9LiverpoolVíctor MuñozStart probability0% → 30%Official club channel ↗Official club update: fitness doubt for this match; start probability and expected minutes revised.
GW9LiverpoolVíctor MuñozExpected minutes0′ → 25′Official club channel ↗Official club update: fitness doubt for this match; start probability and expected minutes revised.
GW9LiverpoolVíctor MuñozStatusOut → DoubtfulOfficial club channel ↗Official club update: fitness doubt for this match; start probability and expected minutes revised.
GW9LiverpoolRio NgumohaStart probability20% → 16%Model updateTeam distribution adjusted after a change for teammate: Victor Munoz
GW9LiverpoolRio NgumohaExpected minutes23′ → 21′Model updateTeam distribution adjusted after a change for teammate: Victor Munoz
GW9LiverpoolWataru EndoStart probability20% → 16%Model updateTeam distribution adjusted after a change for teammate: Victor Munoz
GW9LiverpoolWataru EndoExpected minutes18′ → 15′Model updateTeam distribution adjusted after a change for teammate: Victor Munoz
GW9LiverpoolJoseph GomezStart probability20% → 16%Model updateTeam distribution adjusted after a change for teammate: Victor Munoz
GW9LiverpoolJoseph GomezExpected minutes24′ → 21′Model updateTeam distribution adjusted after a change for teammate: Victor Munoz
GW9LiverpoolKonstantinos TsimikasStart probability41% → 35%Model updateTeam distribution adjusted after a change for teammate: Victor Munoz
GW9LiverpoolKonstantinos TsimikasExpected minutes26′ → 23′Model updateTeam distribution adjusted after a change for teammate: Victor Munoz
GW9LiverpoolFederico ChiesaStart probability20% → 16%Model updateTeam distribution adjusted after a change for teammate: Victor Munoz
GW9LiverpoolFederico ChiesaExpected minutes21′ → 19′Model updateTeam distribution adjusted after a change for teammate: Victor Munoz

Rules: the first published value per match is the baseline and is not logged. A change is logged when the start probability moves by at least 1 point, expected minutes by at least 1, or the status changes. "Model update" = our model re-ran on new information (lineup signals, injury lists, fixture congestion, recalibration). External links open the original source.